Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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4¢
Bid/Ask 4/5¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $22,175.047·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0xcfaa155abdb4c4447285c3fb08ce11273ad7b648cbc29b26bbc99a5d50a57688
7-day price41 snapshots · 3 regime
6¢4¢ current
Apr 83¢Apr 16

Resolution rules

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3460.4%
IY (No) 6.0%
Adj IY 1730%
CRI 24
Overround -0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)3460.4%
IY (No)6.0%
Adj IY1730%
CRI24
Overround-0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:25:09 PM
Observability lowEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xcfaa155abdb4c4447285c3fb08ce11273ad7b648cbc29b26bbc99a5d50a57688 yes 100

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