Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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3¢
Bid/Ask 2/3¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $26,491.856·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0xfff9fd2422f8e3b878a2701c4eb1e9e182a35d9a71ec2d4233ccd2cac834f887
7-day price34 snapshots · 3 regime
8¢3¢ current
Apr 93¢Apr 19

Resolution rules

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4663.1%
IY (No) 4.5%
Adj IY 2332%
CRI 32
Overround -0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4663.1%
IY (No)4.5%
Adj IY2332%
CRI32
Overround-0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:53:59 PM
Observability lowEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:53:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xfff9fd2422f8e3b878a2701c4eb1e9e182a35d9a71ec2d4233ccd2cac834f887 yes 100

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