SimpleFunctions

Above 52 · How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General?: Above

Above 52 is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 5 inside How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General?: Above.

Price history

20¢ current

10¢
0¢25¢
Jun 4, 2026Jun 17, 2026

Contract brief

If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 52, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 52

Rank

#4 of 5

Leader

Above 49 74¢

Range

7¢-74¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXBLANCHECOUNT-27-T52

Jun 19, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

20¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 19, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

11¢

Ask

15¢

Spread

Reported volume

$1K

Family rank

#4 of 5

5 outcomes · How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General?: Above

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 15¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
100¢214
11¢100
10¢200
3¢200
2¢828
AskSize
15¢100
18¢100
20¢200
98¢5.1K
99¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 52, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXBLANCHECOUNT-27-T52

SF Signal
SF Index
753.22
Regime
neutral

Event family

How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General?: Above.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Above 49 74¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1506.4%

IY (No)

23.0%

Adj IY

753%

CRI

8

Overround

0.7%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1506.4%
23.0%
Adj IY
753%
8
Overround
0.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.