SimpleFunctions

How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General

How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

3¢ current

20¢
0¢25¢
Jul 10, 2026Aug 8, 2026

Contract brief

If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 51, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$13K

Identifier

KXBLANCHECOUNT-27-T51

Aug 9, 2026, 2:09 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

3¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 9, 2026, 2:09 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

100¢

Spread

100¢

24h volume

$322

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Aug 8, 2026

Family volume

$13K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 100¢

Kalshi
100¢ spread
No public depth snapshot is cached for this contract yet.

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 51, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 8, 2026

Identifier

KXBLANCHECOUNT-27-T51

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$13K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General 3¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.