SimpleFunctions

Above 51 · How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General?: Above

Above 51 is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 5 inside How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General?: Above.

Price history

18¢ current

17¢
0¢25¢
Jun 4, 2026Jun 17, 2026

Contract brief

If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 51, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 51

Rank

#3 of 5

Leader

Above 49 74¢

Range

7¢-74¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXBLANCHECOUNT-27-T51

Jun 19, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

18¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 19, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

21¢

Ask

22¢

Spread

Reported volume

$1K

Family rank

#3 of 5

5 outcomes · How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General?: Above

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

21 / 22¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
21¢100
20¢200
6¢166
5¢377
AskSize
22¢32
23¢100
29¢100
30¢200
98¢5.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 51, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXBLANCHECOUNT-27-T51

SF Signal
SF Index
350.22
Regime
neutral

Event family

How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General?: Above.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Above 49 74¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

700.4%

IY (No)

49.5%

Adj IY

350%

CRI

4

Overround

0.7%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

700.4%
49.5%
Adj IY
350%
4
Overround
0.7%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.