Above 53 · How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General?: Above
Above 53 is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 5 inside How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General?: Above.
Price history
6¢ current
−7¢Contract brief
If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 53, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 53
Rank
#5 of 5
Leader
Above 49 74¢
Range
7¢-74¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXBLANCHECOUNT-27-T53
Jun 19, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
7¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#5 of 5
5 outcomes · How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General?: Above
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
7 / 11¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 53, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXBLANCHECOUNT-27-T53
Event family
How many Senators vote to confirm as Attorney General?: Above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Above 49 74¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.