Glean IPO before 2027?

The Glean IPO market shows a significant 4¢ cross-venue gap (11¢ on Polymarket vs. 7¢ on Kalshi), suggesting potential arbitrage opportunity or divergent liquidity assessments between platforms. With zero 24-hour volume despite $4.4M open interest and a 1¢ spread, the market appears illiquid and potentially stale, making the extreme 1145% implied yield on the "Yes" side less reliable as a true probability signal. The 7-day price decline from 14¢ to 11¢ combined with high cliff risk (8/10) indicates market skepticism about a Glean IPO materializing within 258 days, though the substantial yield differential warrants monitoring for informed traders seeking contrarian exposure.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

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