Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?
This contract is priced at 25¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 18¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 15¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$2K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
0xeb4beaef…17f4
Market snapshot
June 30 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?. The displayed quote is 25¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $2K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
June 30
Family rank
—
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
25¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 30, 2026
Reported volume
$2K
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 10m ago
Venue identifier: 0xeb4beaefa070c6ccfef90eb088852246c9e965b2672a83bc6f4c36ae347817f4. Family volume: $2K.
Price history
25¢ current
−8¢Orderbook snapshot
18 / 33¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Damascus Governorate, or any target within it, between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact within Damascus Governorate. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land in Damascus Governorate, or cause damage. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence. If there is ambiguity over whether a strike occurred, or whether the drone/missile was intercepted, this market will resolve based on whatever is most likely according to a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0xeb4beaef…17f4
Event family
Israel military action against Damascus by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
June 30 28¢
Current share
100%
June 30
polymarket · 0xeb4beaefa070c6ccfef90eb088852246c9e965b2672a83bc6f4c36ae347817f4
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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