SimpleFunctions
PolymarketAug 4, 202692 days left

Will Anne Parelkar be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?

This contract is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

3¢
$18K volume
$2K liquidity
20% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$88K

Best sibling

Christy Davis 12¢

Ticker

0x571b1bdc…fe01

Price history

3¢ current

1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 4¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
100¢52
100¢9
2¢200
2¢15
0¢13K
0¢666
0¢408
AskSize
4¢200
4¢30
5¢100
6¢53
6¢150
7¢100
53¢11
59¢217

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 4, 2026

Identifier

0x571b1bdc…fe01

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

12770.8%

IY (No)

12.2%

Adj IY

2128%

CRI

32

Overround

-0.6%

LAS

0.67

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

12770.8%
12.2%
Adj IY
2128%
32
Overround
-0.6%
LAS
0.67

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