SimpleFunctions
PolymarketAug 4, 202692 days left

Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?

This contract is priced at 5¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 3¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

5¢
$30K volume
$11K liquidity
34% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$88K

Best sibling

Christy Davis 12¢

Ticker

0x7746b132…db24

Price history

5¢ current

5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 6¢

Polymarket
3¢ spread
BidSize
100¢18
3¢50
3¢58
3¢25
2¢46
0¢14K
0¢1.3K
0¢100
AskSize
6¢51
6¢15
6¢87
7¢7
7¢6
8¢60
8¢54
10¢50

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 4, 2026

Identifier

0x7746b132…db24

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

7501.1%

IY (No)

20.8%

Adj IY

7501%

CRI

19

RV

2450%

VR

2.94

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

7501.1%
20.8%
Adj IY
7501%
19
RV
2450%
VR
2.94
IAR
1.4/h
Overround
-0.6%

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