SimpleFunctions
PolymarketAug 4, 202692 days left

Will Sharice Davids be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?

This contract is priced at 7¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 6¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

7¢
$3K volume
$11K liquidity
4% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$88K

Best sibling

Christy Davis 12¢

Ticker

0xde07228f…5ee1

Price history

7¢ current

39¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 8¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
6¢100
5¢718
4¢700
AskSize
8¢82
9¢158
10¢11
14¢58
18¢146
19¢184
23¢10
44¢161

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 4, 2026

Identifier

0xde07228f…5ee1

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at , 0¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5249.9%

IY (No)

29.7%

Adj IY

3750%

CRI

13

RV

2041%

VR

4.34

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5249.9%
29.7%
Adj IY
3750%
13
RV
2041%
VR
4.34
IAR
2.9/h
Overround
-0.6%
LAS
0.29

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