SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 30, 202657 days left

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

This contract is priced at 76¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 71¢ bid, 73¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

76¢
$1.1M volume
$43K liquidity
12% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$9.0M

Best sibling

Tesla 0¢

Ticker

0x79afea6a…1f95

Price history

76¢ current

9¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

71 / 73¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
71¢8
70¢50
69¢518
68¢2.5K
67¢3.1K
66¢588
65¢3.5K
64¢700
AskSize
73¢13
74¢4.8K
75¢16K
76¢107
77¢1.1K
78¢313
79¢260
80¢270

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

0x79afea6a…1f95

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

247.7%

IY (No)

1638.1%

Adj IY

808%

CRI

3

Overround

-0.0%

LAS

0.01

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

247.7%
1638.1%
Adj IY
808%
3
Overround
-0.0%
LAS
0.01

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