Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B?

Prediction markets currently give a 6% probability that Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B?. This contract trades at 6¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2028.

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6¢
Bid/Ask 5/7¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $209.265·Closes Jan 1, 2028·619d remaining
0x5d4d82c26e6713280afc56321e2a1ffd727c212fdb1583e72ca7bc35353a5a1e
7-day price157 snapshots · 2 regime
6¢6¢ current
Apr 125¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Ledger's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Ledger’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 923.7%
IY (No) 3.8%
Adj IY 462%
CRI 16
Overround 1.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)923.7%
IY (No)3.8%
Adj IY462%
CRI16
Overround1.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:51:27 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:38:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x5d4d82c26e6713280afc56321e2a1ffd727c212fdb1583e72ca7bc35353a5a1e yes 100

Related concepts

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