SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 1, 2027237 days left

MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?

This contract is priced at 96¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 94¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

96¢
$6K volume
$10K liquidity
27% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$23K

Best sibling

$20M 94¢

Ticker

0xeece930c…f50e

Market snapshot

$10M in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?. The displayed quote is 96¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $47. In the MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

$10M

Family rank

#1 of 7

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

96¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2027

24h volume

$47

Family context

7 outcomes · MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Quote range

13¢-94¢

Family leader

$10M 94¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 5m ago

Venue identifier: 0xeece930c79ba2482bf556ec962d3dfab4ea6e0ff096066adadea3a35777ff50e. Family volume: $23K.

Price history

96¢ current

+21¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 21, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

94 / 97¢

Polymarket
3¢ spread
BidSize
94¢8
93¢8
92¢15
91¢100
90¢1.0K
54¢45
50¢18
47¢7
AskSize
97¢178
98¢218
99¢2.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MagicBlock's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

0xeece930c…f50e

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

9.8%

IY (No)

2415.6%

Adj IY

2416%

CRI

16

RV

385%

VR

12.42

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

9.8%
2415.6%
Adj IY
2416%
16
RV
385%
VR
12.42
IAR
5.5/h
Overround
4.0%

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