Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Prediction markets currently give a 26% probability that Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?. This contract trades at 26¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2027.

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26¢
Bid/Ask 26/27¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $799.833·OI $29,648.129·Closes Jan 1, 2027·254d remaining
0x1c842b91d226266fbe0e55d9bce9c52ce48b825d069e039c24d7fe57a5be6eaa
7-day price67 snapshots · 39 regime
29¢26¢ current
Apr 825¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Indicators

IY (Yes) 409.7%
IY (No) 50.6%
Adj IY 394%
CRI 3
RV 359%
VR 1.87
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)409.7%
IY (No)50.6%
Adj IY394%
CRI3
RV359%
VR1.87
IAR1.1/h
Overround0.3%
LAS0.04

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.432
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 10:47:43 AM
Observability mediumEvent type unknown
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 10:38:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x1c842b91d226266fbe0e55d9bce9c52ce48b825d069e039c24d7fe57a5be6eaa yes 100

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