Will Nazmul Hassan be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
This contract is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$23K
Best sibling
Donavan McKinney 36¢
Ticker
0xe03235b7…8420
Market snapshot
Nazmul Hassan in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Nazmul Hassan be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?. The displayed quote is 1¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $388. In the MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #5 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:36 AM UTC.
Outcome
Nazmul Hassan
Family rank
#5 of 5
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
1¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Aug 4, 2026
Reported volume
$388
Family context
5 outcomes · MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Quote range
1¢-54¢
Family leader
Shri Thanedar 54¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:36 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: 0xe03235b712f8935c0fed7a81bc9f71f8ee8e5ae18e9e5f3f42b09cf7cea08420. Family volume: $23K.
Price history
1¢ current
−1¢Orderbook snapshot
1 / 2¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Aug 4, 2026
Identifier
0xe03235b7…8420
Event family
MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$23K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Shri Thanedar 54¢
Current share
2%
Nazmul Hassan
polymarket · 0xe03235b712f8935c0fed7a81bc9f71f8ee8e5ae18e9e5f3f42b09cf7cea08420
Donavan McKinney
polymarket · 0x2cfbd8aabc3519021dc16ab0c7e0f42b0fdac191e64bcc3c42c2319c4c0117f3
Shri Thanedar
polymarket · 0x399b69600812f9997ee0dcac06c74c9351f230baa53765eacbc443a77bc520b9
Shelby Campbell
polymarket · 0x7ab50d37b4e6bdf3003443e90e72c153e5ff7dfc7f3d3050421681c9a461f8cf
Anthony Carbonaro
polymarket · 0xfb3b8e9254d919bec8c6f1c1d12cca1e80876abee683774fd1a5e3131aee956f
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
US Midterm Elections 2026 Prediction Markets: Trading the Battle for Congress
A deep‑dive guide for prediction market traders on the 2026 US midterm elections: House and Senate control odds, key races, Trump’s impact, economic and approval scenarios, polling accuracy, and data‑driven trading strategies.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 1% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.