SimpleFunctions
PolymarketAug 4, 202687 days left

Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?

This contract is priced at 36¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 35¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

36¢
$20K volume
$21K liquidity
89% of event volume

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$23K

Best sibling

Shri Thanedar 54¢

Ticker

0x2cfbd8aa…17f3

Market snapshot

Donavan McKinney in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?. The displayed quote is 36¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $20K. In the MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Donavan McKinney

Family rank

#2 of 5

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

36¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Aug 4, 2026

Reported volume

$20K

Family context

5 outcomes · MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Quote range

1¢-54¢

Family leader

Shri Thanedar 54¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 3m ago

Venue identifier: 0x2cfbd8aabc3519021dc16ab0c7e0f42b0fdac191e64bcc3c42c2319c4c0117f3. Family volume: $23K.

Price history

36¢ current

2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 10, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

35 / 37¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
35¢162
34¢120
18¢20
17¢658
15¢3.2K
14¢200
13¢6.4K
11¢5.5K
AskSize
37¢50
38¢550
39¢29
40¢152
44¢30
45¢120
60¢150
61¢82

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 4, 2026

Identifier

0x2cfbd8aa…17f3

Event family

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$23K

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Shri Thanedar 54¢

Current share

89%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

748.0%

IY (No)

236.7%

Adj IY

748%

CRI

2

RV

2326%

VR

6.82

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

748.0%
236.7%
Adj IY
748%
2
RV
2326%
VR
6.82
IAR
5.4/h
Overround
-0.1%

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