Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
This contract is priced at 19¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 18¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$241K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
0x48874462…5b21
Price history
19¢ current
−17¢Orderbook snapshot
18 / 20¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x48874462…5b21
Event family
This market.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$241K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30 19¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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