What is the current probability for "Millonarios vs Tolima Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 29¢ (29% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 8, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Millonarios vs Tolima Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 6259.8% and 856.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Millonarios vs Tolima Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Millonarios vs Tolima Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 29% probability that Millonarios vs Tolima Winner?. This contract trades at 29¢ on Kalshi, closing May 8, 2026.

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29¢mid

Bid/Ask 27/30¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 8, 2026·16d remaining

KXDIMAYORGAME-26APR23MILTOL-TIE

7-day price10 snapshots · 3 regime

27¢27¢ current

Apr 2124¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

If Tie wins the Millonarios vs Tolima professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 6259.8%

IY (No) 856.3%

Adj IY 5564%

CRI 3

RV 2993%

VR 3.36

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	6259.8%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	856.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	5564%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	2993%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	3.36	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.4/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	-0.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.11	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/22/2026, 6:43:12 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:38:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXDIMAYORGAME-26APR23MILTOL-TIE yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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