What is the current probability for "Mitchell Robinson: 6+ rebounds"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 66¢ (66% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 7, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Mitchell Robinson: 6+ rebounds"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1254.2% and 4325.6% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Mitchell Robinson: 6+ rebounds"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Mitchell Robinson: 6+ rebounds

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 66% probability that Mitchell Robinson: 6+ rebounds. This contract trades at 66¢ on Kalshi, closing May 7, 2026.

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66¢

Bid/Ask 65/72¢·Spread 7¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes May 7, 2026·16d remaining

KXNBAREB-26APR23NYKATL-NYKMROBINSON23-6

7-day price29 snapshots · 4 regime

67¢65¢ current

Apr 2157¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

If Mitchell Robinson records 6+ Rebounds in the New York at Atlanta professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1254.2%

IY (No) 4325.6%

Adj IY 3860%

CRI 2

RV 527%

VR 1.38

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1254.2%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	4325.6%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	3860%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	527%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	1.38	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.8/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	20.4%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.11	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/22/2026, 6:58:01 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:53:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAREB-26APR23NYKATL-NYKMROBINSON23-6 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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