What is the current probability for "Mitchell Robinson: 8+ rebounds"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 44¢ (44% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 7, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Mitchell Robinson: 8+ rebounds"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 3351.7% and 1618.6% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Mitchell Robinson: 8+ rebounds"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Mitchell Robinson: 8+ rebounds

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 44% probability that Mitchell Robinson: 8+ rebounds. This contract trades at 44¢ on Kalshi, closing May 7, 2026.

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44¢mid

Bid/Ask 41/46¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 7, 2026·16d remaining

KXNBAREB-26APR23NYKATL-NYKMROBINSON23-8

7-day price15 snapshots · 5 regime

46¢41¢ current

Apr 2135¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

If Mitchell Robinson records 8+ Rebounds in the New York at Atlanta professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3351.7%

IY (No) 1618.6%

Adj IY 2861%

CRI 1

RV 705%

VR 1.20

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	3351.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	1618.6%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	2861%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	705%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	1.20	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.6/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	20.4%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.15	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/22/2026, 6:57:42 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:53:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAREB-26APR23NYKATL-NYKMROBINSON23-8 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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