Will John Schneider win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $1.9M open interest, suggesting the position is largely static and potentially held by a single trader. The 908.6% implied yield on the "Yes" side is extraordinarily high relative to the modest 14¢ price, indicating severe mispricing or a highly speculative long position that's unlikely to attract counterparty interest. The 27¢ spread is notably wide for a binary market, and with 247 days to expiry, the lack of trading activity suggests limited market confidence in Schneider's candidacy or simply insufficient market depth for this niche prediction.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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