Nashville vs Charlotte Winner?

Prediction markets currently give a 19% probability that Nashville vs Charlotte Winner?. This contract trades at 19¢ on Kalshi, closing May 10, 2026. This market shows extreme dysfunction with a 0¢ price despite a 9¢ spread and zero liquidity ($0 volume, $0 open interest), suggesting it may be inactive or improperly configured on Kalshi.

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19¢
Bid/Ask 18/19¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $193.51·OI $215.05·Closes May 10, 2026·16d remaining
KXMLSGAME-26APR25NSHCLT-CLT
7-day price57 snapshots · 5 regime
19¢18¢ current
Apr 1915¢Apr 23

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extreme dysfunction with a 0¢ price despite a 9¢ spread and zero liquidity ($0 volume, $0 open interest), suggesting it may be inactive or improperly configured on Kalshi. The astronomical implied yields (9417% for Yes, 342% for No) are artifacts of the near-zero pricing rather than genuine opportunities, and with only 20 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 5, any remaining positions face significant execution risk. The 1866% realized volatility and 1.3 info arrivals per hour indicate this market has experienced extreme price swings, but the complete absence of trading activity makes it unsuitable for analysis or entry.

Resolution rules

If Charlotte wins the Nashville vs Charlotte professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 10402.8%
IY (No) 501.3%
Adj IY 5201%
CRI 5
Overround -0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)10402.8%
IY (No)501.3%
Adj IY5201%
CRI5
Overround-0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/24/2026, 1:04:17 AM
Indicators computed 4/24/2026, 12:53:12 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXMLSGAME-26APR25NSHCLT-CLT yes 100

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