What is the current probability for "Nashville vs Charlotte Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 23¢ (23% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 10, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Nashville vs Charlotte Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 8096.2% and 644.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Nashville vs Charlotte Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Nashville vs Charlotte Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that Nashville vs Charlotte Winner?. This contract trades at 23¢ on Kalshi, closing May 10, 2026.

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23¢mid

Bid/Ask 22/23¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 10, 2026·16d remaining

KXMLSGAME-26APR25NSHCLT-TIE

7-day price54 snapshots · 2 regime

22¢22¢ current

Apr 199¢Apr 23

Resolution rules

If Tie wins the Nashville vs Charlotte professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 8096.2%

IY (No) 644.1%

Adj IY 8096%

CRI 4

RV 3245%

VR 2.13

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	8096.2%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	644.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	8096%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	3245%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	2.13	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.0/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	-0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/24/2026, 1:04:13 AM

Indicators computed 4/24/2026, 12:53:12 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXMLSGAME-26APR25NSHCLT-TIE yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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