Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?

Prediction markets currently give a 45% probability that Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?. This contract trades at 45¢ on Polymarket, closing September 8, 2026.

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45¢
Bid/Ask 32/58¢·Spread 26¢·Vol $0·OI $783.282·Closes Sep 8, 2026·139d remaining
0x91586130efb8231715189a281e3769005986ab9bed02033e647739171c940959
7-day price393 snapshots · 4 regime
60¢51¢ current
Apr 839¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 252.8%
IY (No) 273.8%
Adj IY 72%
CRI 1
Overround 0.1%
LAS 0.47
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)252.8%
IY (No)273.8%
Adj IY72%
CRI1
Overround0.1%
LAS0.47

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
26¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 6:23:42 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:23:23 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x91586130efb8231715189a281e3769005986ab9bed02033e647739171c940959 yes 100

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