Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?
This contract is priced at 74¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 72¢ bid, 76¢ ask, 4¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
4
Family volume
$17K
Best sibling
Nicholas Sciretta 17¢
Ticker
0xd426b5e3…c447
Market snapshot
Laura Gillen in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?. The displayed quote is 74¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $5K. In the NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Laura Gillen
Family rank
#1 of 4
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
74¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 23, 2026
Reported volume
$5K
Family context
4 outcomes · NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Quote range
0¢-74¢
Family leader
Laura Gillen 74¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 2m ago
Venue identifier: 0xd426b5e37b1adeb4a30ed0ece09fe70b5ca0aee2392a43c97b18af26b3fec447. Family volume: $17K.
Price history
74¢ current
+1¢Orderbook snapshot
72 / 76¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 23, 2026
Identifier
0xd426b5e3…c447
Event family
NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$17K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Laura Gillen 74¢
Current share
32%
Laura Gillen
polymarket · 0xd426b5e37b1adeb4a30ed0ece09fe70b5ca0aee2392a43c97b18af26b3fec447
Nicholas Sciretta
polymarket · 0x576b5f5f1ec1fb585d195f3310148efabbd11ec45679b7835228fb3431c648a4
Taylor Darling
polymarket · 0x45e9f73bf450dbfa9bc56a6e9361b18c2e66cfa503222e3bc5aec0e366036cf8
Gian Jones
polymarket · 0x3aa954bfa31f711f5931faf1c10c348c836489775295df087999120eeacccd55
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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