SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 23, 202645 days left

Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?

This contract is priced at 17¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 16¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

17¢
$8K volume
$17K liquidity
46% of event volume

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$17K

Best sibling

Laura Gillen 74¢

Ticker

0x576b5f5f…48a4

Market snapshot

Nicholas Sciretta in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?. The displayed quote is 17¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $60. In the NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Nicholas Sciretta

Family rank

#2 of 4

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

17¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 23, 2026

24h volume

$60

Family context

4 outcomes · NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner

Quote range

0¢-74¢

Family leader

Laura Gillen 74¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 9m ago

Venue identifier: 0x576b5f5f1ec1fb585d195f3310148efabbd11ec45679b7835228fb3431c648a4. Family volume: $17K.

Price history

17¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

16 / 18¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
16¢386
14¢356
12¢18
11¢640
10¢1.0K
7¢5
5¢11
4¢200
AskSize
18¢340
19¢128
28¢30
29¢395
30¢150
47¢20
48¢100
49¢176

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 23, 2026

Identifier

0x576b5f5f…48a4

Event family

NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$17K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Laura Gillen 74¢

Current share

46%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3987.4%

IY (No)

167.3%

Adj IY

3284%

CRI

5

RV

1138%

VR

1.48

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3987.4%
167.3%
Adj IY
3284%
5
RV
1138%
VR
1.48
IAR
1.8/h
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.18

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