Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
This contract is priced at 70¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 69¢ bid, 71¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
8
Family volume
$22K
Best sibling
Oscar Romero 1¢
Ticker
0xba8526e4…102c
Market snapshot
Adriano Espaillat in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?. The displayed quote is 70¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $5K. In the NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 8 by current quote across 8 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 11:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Adriano Espaillat
Family rank
#1 of 8
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
70¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 23, 2026
Reported volume
$5K
Family context
8 outcomes · NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Quote range
0¢-70¢
Family leader
Adriano Espaillat 70¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 11:23 AM UTC · 3m ago
Venue identifier: 0xba8526e4bf87c26c043d7048d364508d066117c173a91f2c56a82128fdc9102c. Family volume: $22K.
Price history
70¢ current
+7¢Orderbook snapshot
69 / 71¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 23, 2026
Identifier
0xba8526e4…102c
Event family
NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$22K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Adriano Espaillat 70¢
Current share
24%
Adriano Espaillat
polymarket · 0xba8526e4bf87c26c043d7048d364508d066117c173a91f2c56a82128fdc9102c
Oscar Romero
polymarket · 0x422eecd1eec8d501c70508387d11b1ca7550da75002dcdc448d4d99236df53a9
Darializa Avila Chevalier
polymarket · 0x09e25ccabb32e8d68fed95405ffe3975ffcb2af7de61b1de2f4eb22f1b375029
James Felton Keith
polymarket · 0x7406898e6ec1bfc478fb7c0b0ee2c425f651ad48700739caaa05d7ffada6c326
Megan Rodriguez
polymarket · 0x15dd98954f5a3d5bc21a6fe182d76bbde3e29af1465195df74a6f82c5be6fb2c
Theo Chino-Tavarez
polymarket · 0xa103fd29e21844a2c37dbae0ddd5abc05c9a899652f82b185b1cfd02d18e052e
Matt Miller
polymarket · 0xc3a4cae673b27efa91532ddb90b398930318186e51e01ff0c8eb783a0dbcd4e7
Jaleel Amador
polymarket · 0xe93e70dba8f12060ef544e9ef6b0accc90d4e134994cabf7ac7a13c519524f90
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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