Will Michael Blake be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?
This contract is priced at 6¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 6¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 0¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
4
Family volume
$29K
Best sibling
Dalourny Nemorin 2¢
Ticker
0x1522a8bc…fa64
Market snapshot
Michael Blake in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Michael Blake be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?. The displayed quote is 6¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $3K. In the NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.
Outcome
Michael Blake
Family rank
#2 of 4
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
6¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 23, 2026
Reported volume
$3K
Family context
4 outcomes · NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner
Quote range
0¢-93¢
Family leader
Ritchie Torres 93¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 7m ago
Venue identifier: 0x1522a8bc6e0edaec715b93b1bb35558ff56906ede6bcbe55282267a8a167fa64. Family volume: $29K.
Price history
6¢ current
−5¢Orderbook snapshot
6 / 6¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 23, 2026
Identifier
0x1522a8bc…fa64
Event family
NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$29K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Ritchie Torres 93¢
Current share
10%
Michael Blake
polymarket · 0x1522a8bc6e0edaec715b93b1bb35558ff56906ede6bcbe55282267a8a167fa64
Dalourny Nemorin
polymarket · 0xe03ff7a92557db1422537bd232deff224eb7349e0d9978957e4d471fee5ec7e0
Amanda Septimo
polymarket · 0xe34353946e1b980f8ff778a5deab963630446b5286b870e230ec59b017dfdf12
Ritchie Torres
polymarket · 0xe8ddce0b363dec3cd83336187125c4b23ba35ddd9ab082356b38f1cb122f3ae9
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
unknown
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