SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 23, 202645 days left

Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?

This contract is priced at 90¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 89¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

90¢
$4K volume
$6K liquidity
13% of event volume

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$28K

Best sibling

Dalourny Nemorin 2¢

Ticker

0xe8ddce0b…3ae9

Market snapshot

Ritchie Torres in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?. The displayed quote is 90¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $4K. In the NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Ritchie Torres

Family rank

#1 of 4

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

90¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 23, 2026

Reported volume

$4K

Family context

4 outcomes · NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner

Quote range

0¢-90¢

Family leader

Ritchie Torres 90¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 1m ago

Venue identifier: 0xe8ddce0b363dec3cd83336187125c4b23ba35ddd9ab082356b38f1cb122f3ae9. Family volume: $28K.

Price history

90¢ current

+4¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

89 / 91¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
89¢37
88¢714
87¢357
63¢108
51¢60
50¢200
41¢233
37¢243
AskSize
91¢800
92¢277
93¢1.1K
94¢50
95¢59
96¢108
97¢203
98¢946

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 23, 2026

Identifier

0xe8ddce0b…3ae9

Event family

NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$28K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Ritchie Torres 90¢

Current share

13%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.432

Observability

medium

Event type

unknown

Full indicator table

90.5%
7329.8%
Adj IY
3665%
9

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