SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 3, 202625 days left

Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 8 or 9 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?

This contract is priced at 16¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 14¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

16¢
$4K volume
$3K liquidity
13% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$33K

Best sibling

10+ 85¢

Ticker

0xbe1b6be4…9f16

Market snapshot

8-9 in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 8 or 9 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?. The displayed quote is 16¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $4K. In the # of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

8-9

Family rank

#2 of 6

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

16¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 3, 2026

Reported volume

$4K

Family context

6 outcomes · # of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

Quote range

0¢-85¢

Family leader

10+ 85¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 14m ago

Venue identifier: 0xbe1b6be48dec02bf55faf971e45829b8957f2e4638907bff3c13a898cde69f16. Family volume: $33K.

Price history

16¢ current

61¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

14 / 18¢

Polymarket
4¢ spread
BidSize
14¢89
9¢8
7¢77
7¢10
6¢150
6¢111
6¢29
4¢200
AskSize
18¢22
18¢30
26¢12
26¢15
26¢25
45¢15
45¢50
46¢9

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026. Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market. If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do). Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 3, 2026

Identifier

0xbe1b6be4…9f16

Event family

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$33K

Outcomes

6

Highest price

10+ 85¢

Current share

13%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

7198.8%

IY (No)

302.0%

Adj IY

7199%

CRI

5

RV

2104%

VR

2.80

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

political

Full indicator table

7198.8%
302.0%
Adj IY
7199%
5
RV
2104%
VR
2.80
IAR
4.0/h

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