SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 1, 2027237 days left

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

This contract is priced at 9¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 8¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

9¢
$460K volume
$43K liquidity
8% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$5.9M

Best sibling

$500M 51¢

Ticker

0xb8a8833f…b2a3

Market snapshot

$2B in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?. The displayed quote is 9¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $111. In the Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? family, this outcome ranks #6 of 8 by current quote across 8 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

$2B

Family rank

#6 of 8

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2027

24h volume

$111

Family context

8 outcomes · Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Quote range

3¢-77¢

Family leader

$100M 77¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC · 14m ago

Venue identifier: 0xb8a8833f60836f1a4860727dfebed0cb0fc59a6f9cd22ec840a2e7f6a7dbb2a3. Family volume: $5.9M.

Price history

9¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 6, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 9¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢20K
8¢175
7¢563
6¢210
5¢11K
4¢2.7K
3¢183
2¢14
AskSize
9¢667
10¢20K
11¢10.0K
12¢200
14¢74
15¢13
16¢10
17¢11

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

0xb8a8833f…b2a3

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1559.6%

IY (No)

15.3%

Adj IY

780%

CRI

10

Overround

2.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

1559.6%
15.3%
Adj IY
780%
10
Overround
2.1%

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