Will John Ventre win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will John Ventre win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Polymarket, closing May 19, 2026.

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3¢
Bid/Ask 2/4¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $10,832.554·Closes May 19, 2026·27d remaining
0xff0d8c2a2abf0e35245cf48b2d53d633adc604c7cfc977858d7b18a19a02f9c5
7-day price198 snapshots · 2 regime
4¢3¢ current
Apr 102¢Apr 16

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Pennsylvania, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Pennsylvania Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 43551.8%
IY (No) 41.7%
Adj IY 21776%
CRI 32
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)43551.8%
IY (No)41.7%
Adj IY21776%
CRI32

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:51:11 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:38:17 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xff0d8c2a2abf0e35245cf48b2d53d633adc604c7cfc977858d7b18a19a02f9c5 yes 100

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