What is the current probability for "Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 55¢ (55% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on May 31, 2026. 34 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 878.0% and 1311.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 55% probability that Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?. This contract trades at 55¢ on Polymarket, closing May 31, 2026.

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55¢

Bid/Ask 51/58¢·Spread 7¢·Vol $32.36·OI $156.66·Closes May 31, 2026·34d remaining

0x3f86b44af5e194a6e59f44184602215d98a44cc69082f03b1f192b5a74b22252

7-day price125 snapshots · 8 regime

76¢55¢ current

Apr 2552¢Apr 26

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Pooh Shiesty (Lontrell Denell Williams Jr.) between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 878.0%

IY (No) 1311.5%

Adj IY 1121%

CRI 1

RV 808%

VR 3.29

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	878.0%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	1311.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1121%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	808%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	3.29	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	5.0/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
LAS	0.15	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/26/2026, 11:46:56 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/26/2026, 11:38:30 PM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x3f86b44af5e194a6e59f44184602215d98a44cc69082f03b1f192b5a74b22252 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →