What is the current probability for "Portland at Salt Lake: Totals"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 85¢ (85% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 16, 2026. 19 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Portland at Salt Lake: Totals"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 470.1% and 7521.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Portland at Salt Lake: Totals"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Portland at Salt Lake: Totals

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 85% probability that Portland at Salt Lake: Totals. This contract trades at 85¢ on Kalshi, closing May 16, 2026.

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85¢mid

Bid/Ask 80/89¢·Spread 9¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 16, 2026·19d remaining

KXMLSTOTAL-26MAY02RSLPOR-1

7-day price89 snapshots · 5 regime

80¢80¢ current

Apr 251¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

If Portland and Salt Lake collectively score more than 1.5 total goals in the Salt Lake vs Portland professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 470.1%

IY (No) 7521.5%

Adj IY 6769%

CRI 4

RV 37789%

VR 13.04

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	470.1%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	7521.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	6769%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	37789%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	13.04	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.6/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	1.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.10	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/27/2026, 10:45:28 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/27/2026, 10:38:33 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXMLSTOTAL-26MAY02RSLPOR-1 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →