What is the current probability for "Rudy Gobert: 12+ rebounds"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 40¢ (40% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 8, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Rudy Gobert: 12+ rebounds"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 3616.5% and 1478.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Rudy Gobert: 12+ rebounds"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Rudy Gobert: 12+ rebounds

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 40% probability that Rudy Gobert: 12+ rebounds. This contract trades at 40¢ on Kalshi, closing May 8, 2026.

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40¢mid

Bid/Ask 39/41¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 8, 2026·16d remaining

KXNBAREB-26APR23DENMIN-MINRGOBERT27-12

7-day price77 snapshots · 3 regime

39¢39¢ current

Apr 2127¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

If Rudy Gobert records 12+ Rebounds in the Denver at Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3616.5%

IY (No) 1478.3%

Adj IY 3616%

CRI 2

RV 1325%

VR 1.77

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	3616.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	1478.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	3616%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	1325%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	1.77	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	4.1/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	14.2%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

2¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 6:43:33 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:38:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAREB-26APR23DENMIN-MINRGOBERT27-12 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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