Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
This contract is priced at 8¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 6¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 3¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$45K
Best sibling
SPD 1¢
Ticker
0x2f8a38a5…8230
Market snapshot
AfD in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?. The displayed quote is 8¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $944. In the Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place family, this outcome ranks #2 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
AfD
Family rank
#2 of 7
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
8¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Sep 6, 2026
Reported volume
$944
Family context
7 outcomes · Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place
Quote range
0¢-89¢
Family leader
CDU 89¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 11m ago
Venue identifier: 0x2f8a38a5f25cb7eae35917f32262bdfcb3cd35d223d98e988b50f1b6d79e8230. Family volume: $45K.
Price history
8¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 9¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Sep 6, 2026
Identifier
0x2f8a38a5…8230
Event family
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$45K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
CDU 89¢
Current share
2%
AfD
polymarket · 0x2f8a38a5f25cb7eae35917f32262bdfcb3cd35d223d98e988b50f1b6d79e8230
SPD
polymarket · 0x83b198da6554f785d0c45c0a6c70396204e7bd564cadc245ddd6b7c3656f2468
CDU
polymarket · 0xbb333a67a021476c97c9ac368e9d280ca43fe09782042d3ada92e48955c6a90c
FDP
polymarket · 0xa726b9445d1a22bed2a1e1eee70cd1c81174176fd01339e2e19bb4778848c89a
The Left
polymarket · 0x21d66f6b4bc5fe334b0c5f8e991ef0c1f9558c1cdf8df6dfd761b4d95ec260b9
The Greens
polymarket · 0x1e3fbb9118388c76f22b51edad967ab360050fe1228cfd02f1fb404b56cd3305
BSW
polymarket · 0x8d876bd73886127ad311a3ca4cbf805e3073c6cebd30adb510a80d189f7c1b7b
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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