SimpleFunctions
PolymarketSep 6, 2026120 days left

Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

This contract is priced at 89¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 88¢ bid, 89¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

89¢
$17K volume
$14K liquidity
38% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$45K

Best sibling

SPD 1¢

Ticker

0xbb333a67…a90c

Market snapshot

CDU in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?. The displayed quote is 89¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $50. In the Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place family, this outcome ranks #1 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

CDU

Family rank

#1 of 7

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

89¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Sep 6, 2026

24h volume

$50

Family context

7 outcomes · Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

Quote range

0¢-89¢

Family leader

CDU 89¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC · 14m ago

Venue identifier: 0xbb333a67a021476c97c9ac368e9d280ca43fe09782042d3ada92e48955c6a90c. Family volume: $45K.

Price history

89¢ current

+2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

88 / 89¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
88¢103
87¢20
83¢13
82¢100
79¢10
78¢21
67¢13
66¢100
AskSize
89¢25
90¢3.1K
91¢157
92¢118
93¢10
94¢50
95¢117
96¢257

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Sep 6, 2026

Identifier

0xbb333a67…a90c

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

37.7%
2468.6%
Adj IY
1234%
8

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