SimpleFunctions
PolymarketAug 6, 202689 days left

Will Steve Cohen be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?

This contract is priced at 41¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 39¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

41¢
$5K volume
$4K liquidity
69% of event volume

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$7K

Best sibling

Justin Pearson 38¢

Ticker

0x90b3a632…0157

Market snapshot

Steve Cohen in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Steve Cohen be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?. The displayed quote is 41¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $24. In the TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Steve Cohen

Family rank

#1 of 3

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

41¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Aug 6, 2026

24h volume

$24

Family context

3 outcomes · TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

Quote range

35¢-41¢

Family leader

Steve Cohen 41¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 1m ago

Venue identifier: 0x90b3a63203c32bc263c308ed8aabd6114db4cd1c9817e8a9bc9245074dd00157. Family volume: $7K.

Price history

41¢ current

15¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

39 / 42¢

Polymarket
3¢ spread
BidSize
39¢100
38¢106
31¢33
20¢152
19¢507
16¢1.3K
12¢465
11¢1.9K
AskSize
42¢21
43¢200
54¢18
58¢43
59¢145
64¢5
65¢30
66¢60

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 6, 2026

Identifier

0x90b3a632…0157

Event family

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$7K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Steve Cohen 41¢

Current share

69%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

591.4%

IY (No)

285.6%

Adj IY

563%

CRI

1

RV

2361%

VR

8.72

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

591.4%
285.6%
Adj IY
563%
1
RV
2361%
VR
8.72
IAR
6.6/h
Overround
0.1%
LAS
0.05

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