Will Harry Kane have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $188k open interest, suggesting the $188k may be stale positions. The 39¢ price implies Kane has only a 39% chance of leading the competition in combined goals and assists, which appears conservative given his historical consistency, though his age (32 by the 2025-26 season) and potential squad changes introduce genuine uncertainty. The astronomical implied yield of 1278% on the yes side reflects the illiquidity premium rather than genuine edge, and with 45 days to expiration and a 2.0 cliff risk index, this market could experience sharp repricing once meaningful volume arrives.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who records the most goal contributions combined through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition. For the purpose of this market, a goal contribution is defined exclusively as the number of combined goals and assists a player has recorded. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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