Will Bayern München score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $95.7k open interest, and the 30¢ spread reflects significant pricing uncertainty around Bayern's chances at even odds. The implied yields are exceptionally high (921% risk-adjusted), suggesting either mispricing or that traders expect substantial resolution clarity only near the May 2026 expiry, with realized volatility at 556% indicating wild historical swings. The 46% price appreciation over seven days (34¢ to 50¢) combined with a neutral regime and high information arrival rate (0.9/h) suggests recent positive sentiment toward Bayern, though the cliff risk index of 1 warns that resolution mechanics tied to UEFA's tiebreaker rules could create binary outcomes.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the club that records the most total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the club who advanced farther in the competition. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the club that is listed first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/statistics/clubs/goals/).

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