Will Ilia Topuria fight Charles Oliveira next?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $340k open interest and a massive 34¢ bid-ask spread, suggesting the $340k figure may reflect stale positions. The 491% implied yield on the Yes side is artificially inflated by the low 20¢ price and should be heavily discounted given the zero trading activity and high realized volatility of 502%. With 317 days to expiry and a neutral regime, this appears to be a dead market where the price has been stuck at 20¢ with no new information arriving to move it.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

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