What is the current probability for "Will Brendan Allen fight Joe Pyfer next?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 38¢ (38% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on April 1, 2027. 344 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Brendan Allen fight Joe Pyfer next?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 173.3% and 65.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Brendan Allen fight Joe Pyfer next?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Brendan Allen fight Joe Pyfer next?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 38% probability that Will Brendan Allen fight Joe Pyfer next?. This contract trades at 38¢ on Polymarket, closing April 1, 2027.

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38¢

Bid/Ask 2/73¢·Spread 71¢·Vol $0·OI $11.912·Closes Apr 1, 2027·344d remaining

0x1e0722260eead34ccb2adab759893420b21fbd5d5fc087c58d214adf55c041a3

7-day price7 snapshots · 3 regime

39¢38¢ current

Apr 2037¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Joe Pyfer is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Joe Pyfer is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Joe Pyfer is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 173.3%

IY (No) 65.1%

Adj IY 0%

CRI 2

Overround 1.3%

LAS 1.87

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	173.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	65.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	0%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	1.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	1.87	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

71¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 10:28:01 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 10:23:23 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x1e0722260eead34ccb2adab759893420b21fbd5d5fc087c58d214adf55c041a3 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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