Will Dan Hooker fight Max Holloway next?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $260,904 in open interest and a massive 33¢ spread, suggesting the 18¢ price may not reflect true consensus. The 521.7% implied yield on the Yes side is extraordinarily high and likely a mispricing artifact driven by the wide bid-ask gap rather than genuine market conviction about a Hooker-Holloway matchup. With 319 days to expiry and a realized volatility of 3,942%, this appears to be a speculative position with minimal price discovery rather than an efficiently-priced prediction.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

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