SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 30, 202657 days left

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?

This contract is priced at 11¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 10¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

11¢
$398K volume
$17K liquidity
0% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$128.9M

Best sibling

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner : Saudi Arabia 0¢

Ticker

0x33fb07ad…fbf9

Price history

11¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026Apr 28, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 11¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
10¢70
9¢919
8¢532
7¢20K
5¢11
4¢500
3¢444
2¢2.8K
AskSize
11¢70
12¢240
13¢258
14¢1.0K
15¢1.1K
16¢60
36¢13
38¢15

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

The United States has suspended operations of the Embassy in Damascus since February 6, 2012. As of market creation, the Government of the Czech Republic serves as the protecting power for U.S. interests in Syria and provides limited consular services to U.S. citizens. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening of its embassy in Damascus or if such a reopening is otherwise confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of a U.S. embassy in Damascus will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S. and Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

0x33fb07ad…fbf9

Event family

Middle East / Israel.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$128.9M

Outcomes

16

Highest price

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30 100¢

Current share

0%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

June 30, 2026

polymarket · 0x33fb07add905d9a65176839cda7faf7844924c211b4366c62d4b51e85131fbf9

11¢$398K$100.1

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner : Saudi Arabia

polymarket · 0x3fb8a8de2ac275882d72b2c4f22d41776fcf033f9e413a77a84dd395c0d5257c

0¢$25.0M$34K

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner : Jordan

polymarket · 0x33a87d02fa01e958929385c74b8627d32cc4474e9ebd312d268865c5207147fa

0¢$23.8M$52K

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner : Qatar

polymarket · 0x4fe305a2ae995a52ff278895344895fe587b4fec3d5f04347b4dbf5e99bce99c

0¢$22.3M$89K

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner : Egypt

polymarket · 0x7412d284c8f63791fec807f9b1f61c6fe61163621775a3dc8686cd2575272abe

0¢$21.3M$55K

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30

polymarket · 0xf220061c0e83defd413070f97fb55660485ca8540c43be13d9e71082ca2cad57

100¢$20.5M$16.1M

June 30

polymarket · 0x865303ccb9a48341d1bae33b3b4379ca86d5abbff3ce1e132716631cc0af3cce

5¢$4.8M$10K0.2

Eurovision Winner 2026: Israel

polymarket · 0x6680cae9b37261f6c1ec3313f9ad175708bb9722e94285b5b0a5b50a9972d312

4¢$2.2M$22K0.0

3

polymarket · 0x497a043a5a848906d653e4a60e34df7131a9d7e059ce2ce70f05b4311360c9cf

43¢$1.9M$2K0.2

December 31

polymarket · 0xd1796c09d0d6f876f8580086ae9808ec991784e3a74b25a1830a25de71a78c96

44¢$1.2M$3K0.0

4

polymarket · 0x4437c8690e2edae1ab7acb0dcb40e536109ae6366e630d97f0bd764c9545ae57

11¢$1.2M$2K0.6

Netanyahu - Israel PM

polymarket · 0x6f416ddd0d4e15ad8d76fff96851a154c16713a26aafc753173c49acf5c6eb74

1¢$1.1M$15K

Naftali Bennett

polymarket · 0x9ed0ecc8b8589e67967d44c4420944a41b6a6806419019a1581d514174eee9b1

36¢$1.1M$5K0.1

Next French Presidential Election: Jordan Bardella

polymarket · 0x1166388a24a3f2a9bb0a45956bdb205c70f0ecafb8539e277a57adf022e306be

24¢$846K$10K0.0

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Mohammed bin Salman

polymarket · 0x8f77f96697dea0909edb2946e0eb866c08e9c2280964e70b1e5f25fcc0a747d0

1¢$715K$9K

Benjamin Netanyahu

polymarket · 0x7586a96520578acaaaa4ea84a2582f197f84255da1f3392a7aa300386c187b37

43¢$644K$8K0.0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

5170.2%
79.0%
Adj IY
2350%
8
LAS
0.09

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