Utsunomiya Brex vs Sun Rockers Shibuya Winner?

Prediction markets currently give a 75% probability that Utsunomiya Brex vs Sun Rockers Shibuya Winner?. This contract trades at 75¢ on Kalshi, closing May 6, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero open interest and volume despite a 26¢ spread and astronomical implied yields exceeding 1975% on both sides, suggesting no real market participants.

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75¢
Bid/Ask 67/75¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $94.26·OI $144.26·Closes May 6, 2026·14d remaining
KXJBLEAGUEGAME-26APR220605BRESRS-BRE
7-day price67 snapshots · 2 regime
68¢67¢ current
Apr 196¢Apr 22

Analysis

2d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero open interest and volume despite a 26¢ spread and astronomical implied yields exceeding 1975% on both sides, suggesting no real market participants. The 7-day price surge from 6¢ to 53¢ combined with a realized volatility of 18111% and cliff risk index of 1 indicates severe mispricing or potential data anomalies rather than genuine market activity. With only 16 days to resolution and an info arrival rate of 1.3 events per hour, this appears to be a defunct or test market that should be avoided due to extreme execution risk and unreliable pricing signals.

Resolution rules

If Utsunomiya Brex wins the Utsunomiya Brex vs Sun Rockers Shibuya professional Japan B League basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026 at 6:05 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1274.8%
IY (No) 5255.0%
Adj IY 5255%
CRI 2
RV 5835%
VR 5.36
▶ Full indicator table (7)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1274.8%
IY (No)5255.0%
Adj IY5255%
CRI2
RV5835%
VR5.36
IAR0.8/h

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
8¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 7:50:30 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 7:38:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXJBLEAGUEGAME-26APR220605BRESRS-BRE yes 100

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