SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026236 days left

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

This contract is priced at 28¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 27¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

28¢
$1.6M volume
$26K liquidity
2% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$87.2M

Best sibling

Richard Grenell 0¢

Ticker

0xa01d48a9…e0f7

Market snapshot

Delcy Rodríguez in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?. The displayed quote is 28¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $7K. In the Venezuela leader end of 2026? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Delcy Rodríguez

Family rank

#2 of 16

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

28¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

24h volume

$7K

Family context

16 outcomes · Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Quote range

0¢-59¢

Family leader

Nicolás Maduro 59¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 15m ago

Venue identifier: 0xa01d48a973e40770719dab42faf1aeae5da4376d9eca46e77265c7551d1be0f7. Family volume: $87.2M.

Price history

28¢ current

37¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

27 / 28¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
27¢530
26¢1.7K
25¢1.2K
24¢776
23¢1.6K
22¢35
21¢1.2K
20¢115
AskSize
28¢469
29¢1.3K
30¢140
31¢7
32¢118
33¢449
34¢557
35¢259

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0xa01d48a9…e0f7

Event family

Venezuela leader end of 2026.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$87.2M

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Nicolás Maduro 59¢

Current share

2%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Delcy Rodríguez

polymarket · 0xa01d48a973e40770719dab42faf1aeae5da4376d9eca46e77265c7551d1be0f7

28¢$1.6M$7K0.0

Richard Grenell

polymarket · 0x831493dce463d9adcad78c492f2cbec6ecdac31f4e8c5a894fdac68c130549d4

0¢$32.0M$1K

Frank Donovan

polymarket · 0x8063a2c9fa21c4a1470b33fee132d6d61fb5b7dcd667dcac3bb82ae15ad70c0d

0¢$25.0M$2K

Pete Hegseth

polymarket · 0x4197bf7e572f1dd731669d33d05532c6d3b8cba71fb83dc69d789110e39c41b4

0¢$8.4M$31K

Evan Pettus

polymarket · 0x1dd7704a6d05cca078564bc0bac541261425bc9252acc5634639f5161daf45f9

0¢$5.0M$94K

Dan Caine

polymarket · 0x1198bf982483cc6f0a3d3de63d7703117ed19c5b5a9474541a2a3b6b0b5e51f3

0¢$3.5M$6K

Dinorah Figuera

polymarket · 0x86a2f168603fae962d925c91b23fba47c0c7436a240056785de25e998bc30811

0¢$2.3M$2K

Diosdado Cabello Rondón

polymarket · 0xd46931250308613b38c1fdad5cfeaeaae05818bc445668ad4629f12e92aac690

1¢$1.6M$7K

Nicolás Maduro

polymarket · 0x67f3f8d0a0ecdfc008c99650284a4674388a8c3029b0eb7ca0abd65dde8d996f

59¢$1.6M$19K0.0

María Corina Machado

polymarket · 0x70187b4770796788b9d1f3fc6652c596870a9a837b96c832441652588f26029d

8¢$1.0M$8080.1

No Head of State

polymarket · 0xf752269473fe416c87c8da63dd21c74581cbe3f3920cc904b0d59cbdfa173ef7

1¢$999K$7K

Jorge Rodríguez

polymarket · 0xcef0ea92825ef2e046a97ef9b628709d0071614832d3bfc9c6c8dc119a472618

1¢$981K$299

Donald Trump

polymarket · 0x746481a9f7ac20a4959a11ea5d535522040b0dfd7c21b920d5fe134a93c2c26c

0¢$885K$181

Marco Rubio

polymarket · 0x4c04cc7094bf35bd682eb4f0e492836b97392c213087a2b891d0b5d897a81eb2

0¢$789K$2K

Edmundo González

polymarket · 0xb122b2a17c8dea01d5e8ffe04316bbe011f9bf80c989bb82afde2f39a3fd4441

0¢$757K$5K

Vladimir Padrino López

polymarket · 0xbe63107b6f2952cab6bff292332b1574d5f70323a5a830bdc7e6129ab3c3960d

0¢$652K$1K

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

398.3%

IY (No)

60.2%

Adj IY

192%

CRI

3

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

0.04

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

398.3%
60.2%
Adj IY
192%
3
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.04

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