Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
This contract is priced at 8¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 7¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$87.1M
Best sibling
Richard Grenell 0¢
Ticker
0x70187b47…029d
Market snapshot
María Corina Machado in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?. The displayed quote is 8¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $722. In the Venezuela leader end of 2026? family, this outcome ranks #3 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
María Corina Machado
Family rank
#3 of 16
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
8¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
24h volume
$722
Family context
16 outcomes · Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Quote range
0¢-59¢
Family leader
Nicolás Maduro 59¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 9m ago
Venue identifier: 0x70187b4770796788b9d1f3fc6652c596870a9a837b96c832441652588f26029d. Family volume: $87.1M.
Price history
8¢ current
−5¢Orderbook snapshot
7 / 8¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x70187b47…029d
Event family
Venezuela leader end of 2026.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$87.1M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Nicolás Maduro 59¢
Current share
1%
María Corina Machado
polymarket · 0x70187b4770796788b9d1f3fc6652c596870a9a837b96c832441652588f26029d
Richard Grenell
polymarket · 0x831493dce463d9adcad78c492f2cbec6ecdac31f4e8c5a894fdac68c130549d4
Frank Donovan
polymarket · 0x8063a2c9fa21c4a1470b33fee132d6d61fb5b7dcd667dcac3bb82ae15ad70c0d
Pete Hegseth
polymarket · 0x4197bf7e572f1dd731669d33d05532c6d3b8cba71fb83dc69d789110e39c41b4
Evan Pettus
polymarket · 0x1dd7704a6d05cca078564bc0bac541261425bc9252acc5634639f5161daf45f9
Dan Caine
polymarket · 0x1198bf982483cc6f0a3d3de63d7703117ed19c5b5a9474541a2a3b6b0b5e51f3
Dinorah Figuera
polymarket · 0x86a2f168603fae962d925c91b23fba47c0c7436a240056785de25e998bc30811
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
polymarket · 0xd46931250308613b38c1fdad5cfeaeaae05818bc445668ad4629f12e92aac690
Nicolás Maduro
polymarket · 0x67f3f8d0a0ecdfc008c99650284a4674388a8c3029b0eb7ca0abd65dde8d996f
Delcy Rodríguez
polymarket · 0xa01d48a973e40770719dab42faf1aeae5da4376d9eca46e77265c7551d1be0f7
No Head of State
polymarket · 0xf752269473fe416c87c8da63dd21c74581cbe3f3920cc904b0d59cbdfa173ef7
Jorge Rodríguez
polymarket · 0xcef0ea92825ef2e046a97ef9b628709d0071614832d3bfc9c6c8dc119a472618
Donald Trump
polymarket · 0x746481a9f7ac20a4959a11ea5d535522040b0dfd7c21b920d5fe134a93c2c26c
Marco Rubio
polymarket · 0x4c04cc7094bf35bd682eb4f0e492836b97392c213087a2b891d0b5d897a81eb2
Edmundo González
polymarket · 0xb122b2a17c8dea01d5e8ffe04316bbe011f9bf80c989bb82afde2f39a3fd4441
Vladimir Padrino López
polymarket · 0xbe63107b6f2952cab6bff292332b1574d5f70323a5a830bdc7e6129ab3c3960d
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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