What is the current probability for "Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 54¢ (54% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on January 1, 2027. 244 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 127.2% and 175.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 54% probability that Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 54¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2027.

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54¢

Bid/Ask 16/92¢·Spread 76¢·Vol $29·OI $396.385·Closes Jan 1, 2027·244d remaining

0x2e8a325e90d42c729a3542e6a49f030300064894e9f697224c103d3787d76cc9

7-day price810 snapshots · 8 regime

63¢54¢ current

Apr 835¢May 1

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Uniswap (UNI/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the UNI/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/UNI_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Binance UNI/USDT price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 127.2%

IY (No) 175.3%

Adj IY 0%

CRI 1

Overround 1.3%

LAS 1.41

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	127.2%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	175.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	0%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	1.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	1.41	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.432

Computed

5/1/2026, 12:52:38 PM

Observability mediumEvent type unknown

Has orderbookIndicators computed 5/1/2026, 12:38:43 PM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x2e8a325e90d42c729a3542e6a49f030300064894e9f697224c103d3787d76cc9 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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