Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite a $1.46M open interest, suggesting minimal trader interest in the $7B HIP-3 open interest target despite a reasonable 259-day timeframe. The 230% implied yield on the Yes side is notably asymmetric compared to the 86.4% No yield, indicating the market may be mispriced or that few traders believe Hyperliquid will achieve that magnitude of growth by end-2026. With a stable 38¢ price over seven days and a tight 4¢ spread, this appears to be a stagnant market where the current 38% probability may not reflect genuine conviction given the complete absence of recent trading activity.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest is equal to or greater than the amount specified in the title at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is Artemis Analytics, using the Hyperliquid page available at: https://app.artemisanalytics.com/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=deep_dives The value used will be the “Total” open interest shown when hovering over a daily bar in the “HIP-3 DEXs by Open Interest” chart. A daily value is considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable public data sources.

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