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Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 48% probability that Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?. This contract trades at 48¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1,636.82 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 45¢ price potentially unreliable despite the wide 9¢ spread.

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48¢
Bid/Ask 40/55¢·Spread 15¢·Vol $3.45·OI $507.049·Closes Jan 1, 2027·244d remaining
0x868a8b73e84076ee57d63fb6dca3637b8fab71685ebd774826fde16e9f88354d
7-day price241 snapshots · 4 regime
51¢48¢ current
Apr 1628¢May 1

Analysis

14d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1,636.82 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 45¢ price potentially unreliable despite the wide 9¢ spread. The 172.2% implied yield on the Yes side is notably high relative to the neutral regime and suggests either underpricing of tail risk or minimal market participation driving the quote. With 259 days to resolution and Hyperliquid's current trajectory unclear, the lack of trading activity makes this a speculative position rather than a liquid prediction market.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest is equal to or greater than the amount specified in the title at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is Artemis Analytics, using the Hyperliquid page available at: https://app.artemisanalytics.com/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=deep_dives The value used will be the “Total” open interest shown when hovering over a daily bar in the “HIP-3 DEXs by Open Interest” chart. A daily value is considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable public data sources.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 149.3%
IY (No) 149.3%
Adj IY 111%
CRI 1
RV 623%
VR 4.91
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)149.3%
IY (No)149.3%
Adj IY111%
CRI1
RV623%
VR4.91
IAR3.6/h
Overround3.1%
LAS0.26

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
15¢
Computed
5/1/2026, 1:44:28 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 5/1/2026, 1:38:57 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x868a8b73e84076ee57d63fb6dca3637b8fab71685ebd774826fde16e9f88354d yes 100

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